Dashboard/AI Adoption Rate Across US Companies

AI Adoption | Current measure | Data through Jul 2026

AI Adoption Rate Across US Companies

21.8%3.821.8%Trending

21.8% of US firms use AI in production according to the Census Bureau's Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS), up from 3.8% in mid-2023. This is the most rigorous adoption measure available. Consultancy surveys report 5-10x higher rates (55-78%) because they sample self-selected, tech-forward companies. The Census data covers all US firms and provides the ground truth. Adoption varies dramatically by sector: information and finance lead at 20-30%, while construction and agriculture remain under 5%.

This is observed data from real-world surveys and measurements, not a prediction. See the full methodology for details on weighting, source validity, and recency bias.

Best estimate from US Census Bureau (Verified Data & Research)
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Indicators Over Time

The chart below tracks how this estimate has shifted over time as new research and data emerge. Every source is color-coded by evidence quality; use the tiers below to filter what appears on the chart and in the weighted average above.

Filter by evidence tiers

Note: Adoption estimates differ by more than tenfold depending on how adoption is defined. The measures disagree because they count different things, not because one of them is wrong. BTOS asks firms directly whether they used AI in the past two weeks (21.8%); Census refined the wording in November 2025 from AI use “in producing goods or services” to AI use “in any business function,” and publishes the result as one continuous series, as do we. Posting-based methods instead infer adoption from whether a firm advertises roles that integrate AI into its own operations, which yields roughly 5.9% of eligible hiring firms — a narrower, harder threshold that captures deliberate deployment rather than any use. Consultancy surveys run higher than both because their samples are self-selected. Only the BTOS series is charted; the other measures appear below it as directional signals and are left out of the average. See the Census Bureau on the wording refinement, Revelio Labs on the posting-based approach, and Known Limitations.

Confidence range
Data type
Survey

Directional research signals

Studies that point in a clear direction but give no single number to chart — e.g. “entry-level hiring fell” or “no measurable displacement detected.” They are not counted in the average above. Stacked blocks show net evidence per month; positive and negative signals cancel. Hover any column to see the studies.

202420252026+4+9

Each data point is from a different source. Dots are color-coded by evidence tier. Click any dot to jump to its source.

Adoption spectrum: why adoption numbers vary

10%
In productionCensus BTOS
15%
Piloting / testingCensus BTOS
37%
Workers using weeklyNBER (Bick et al.)
78%
Any corporate useNBER (Bloom et al.)

The gap between 10% and 78% is definitional, not contradictory. Strict “in production” measures capture at-scale deployment; survey-based measures capture any experimentation. Both are valid. The adoption ladder shows where firms actually are.

Sources (76)

Business Trends and Outlook Survey — Biweekly AI Use (cycles 202614–202616)
US Census BureauAug 13, 2026Research
Show excerpt

BTOS biweekly question 7: "In the last two weeks, did this business use Artificial Intelligence (AI) in any of its business functions? (Examples of AI: machine learning, natural language processing, virtual agents, voice recognition, etc.)" Share answering Yes: 21.7% for reference period June 15–28, 2026 (SE 0.31%); 21.5% for June 29–July 12, 2026 (SE 0.42%); 21.8% for July 13–26, 2026 (SE 0.33%). Values dated to reference-period end, not release date.

Cracks in the AI Thesis (Ramp AI Index, August 2026)

Ramp: 43.5% of US businesses pay for Anthropic, 39.7% OpenAI; $11.95/employee median

Ramp Economics Lab (Ara Kharazian)Aug 12, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Ramp AI Index, August 2026, based on corporate card and bill-pay transactions from more than 70,000 US businesses. Share of US businesses paying for each vendor: Anthropic 43.5% (up 1.1 percentage points month over month), OpenAI 39.7% (up 0.23 points), xAI 4.0% (up 0.94 points). The median firm spent $11.95 per employee on AI. Measures paid vendor subscriptions rather than self-reported use, so it appears below the chart as a directional signal.

AI's Impact on Labor and Hiring

NY Fed: Second District AI use 25%→40% services, 16%→26% manufacturing

Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Liberty Street Economics (Athreya)Aug 5, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Rapid Adoption of AI Across Industries. Share Using AI: Service Firms / Manufacturers. In 2024: 25 / 16. In 2025: 40 / 26. In next six months: 44 / 33. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Regional Business Surveys, August 2025.

AI Labor Market Tracker: July 2026

Revelio: cumulative firm AI adoption ~5.9% of eligible hiring firms (postings)

Revelio LabsJul 28, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Firm AI adoption has accelerated sharply since 2024, with measured cumulative adoption now approaching 5.9% of eligible hiring firms. Adoption is identified from job postings — a firm is coded as adopting when it posts AI integrator roles — following Hosseini Maasoum and Lichtinger (2025), a different construct from spend-based measures.

Organizational AI Adoption Jumps Six Points

Gallup: 47% of employees say their org has integrated AI tools, up from 41%

Gallup (Andy Kemp)Jul 20, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

47% of employees say their organization has integrated AI tools, up from 41% in the prior quarter. "More than half of U.S. workers (52%) now use AI in their role, with 30% using it frequently (a few times a week or more). Fifteen percent use it daily." Fielded May 6–20, 2026 among 22,573 employed U.S. adults, margin of error +/-0.9 percentage points. This is employees reporting on their employer rather than firms reporting directly, so it appears below the chart as a directional signal alongside the earlier 41% and 46% Gallup readings.

BTOS 2026 AI Supplement — Full Biannual Data Release
US Census Bureau (BTOS AI Supplement)Jul 2, 2026Research
Show excerpt

US Census Bureau BTOS 2026 AI Supplement (reference period Nov 17, 2025 - Feb 8, 2026; released 2026). Full biannual supplement replacing the biweekly two-week question with a six-month lookback plus new modules on task substitution, wage/employment effects, and planned adoption. Headline (Q1, 2-week): 17.9% of US businesses used AI in any function in the past two weeks (SE 0.13%). Use case incidence (6-month): sales/marketing 14.3%, strategy 12.4%, IT 11.4%, R&D 11.2%, PR/comms 9.3%. Task substitution: 10.1% used AI to perform a task previously done by an employee; 43.7% to supplement/enhance an employee task; 10.6% to introduce a new task. Of firms that substituted, 70.9% substituted 'a small number' of tasks, 22.0% moderate, 7.1% large. Employment effect: 95.7% report no change in total employment from AI use; 2.3% increased, 2.0% decreased. Generative AI specifically: 20.8% of firms report employees using GenAI at work in past six months; of those, 85.4% used for writing/editing, 49.9% for information search, 44.6% for translation/analysis, 34.7% for paperwork, 30.0% for new-project development. Sector leaders (Q1 two-week): Information 37.6%, Professional/Scientific/Technical 34.2%, Education 30.7%, Finance/Insurance 30.4%, Real Estate 23.5%. Six-month outlook: 21.6% expect to be using AI, with sales/marketing (62.8%) and strategy (57.4%) leading.

Business Trends and Outlook Survey — AI Adoption (May 2026 wave, released Jun 18)
US Census Bureau (BTOS)Jun 18, 2026Research
Show excerpt

US Census Bureau Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS) biweekly release Jun 18, 2026. As of the May 3, 2026 reference date: national AI use rate = 19.8% of responding businesses. Between Dec 2025 and May 2026 the national AI use rate hovered between 17% and 20%, with 20-23% of firms expecting to use AI in the next six months. Sector breakdown: Information 39.7%; Finance & Insurance 33.9%; Retail Trade ~14%. Sample: approximately 1.2 million businesses with biweekly data collection.

The Growth and Performance of Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

NBER: AI hedge funds peaked at ~2.7% of all hedge funds; AI labor intensity 1.17% of adviser postings

NBER (Shuang Chen, Clemens Sialm, David X. Xu)Jun 1, 2026Research
Show excerpt

AI-driven investing has grown steadily since the early 2010s and is concentrated among hedge funds. Average AI labor intensity is 1.17% of job postings at SEC-registered investment advisers. AI hedge funds peaked at ~2.7% of all hedge funds in 2023, with AI-Autonomous funds accounting for over 90% of AI AUM by 2024.

Large Firms With at Least 20 Employees Biggest AI Users
US Census BureauMay 26, 2026Research
Show excerpt

US Census Bureau analysis of BTOS data collected December 14, 2025 to May 3, 2026. Documents a break in the AI-use question: “Originally framed around AI use ‘in producing goods or services,’ rather than to carry out simple tasks like drafting emails, the Census Bureau revised the wording last November to ask businesses whether they were using AI ‘in any business function.’” On November 17, 2025 BTOS began its second AI supplement and revised the core AI use questions. Over the period “overall AI usage hovered between 17% and 20% — and that between 20% and 23% of businesses expected to be using it in the next six months.” The national rate was 19.8% as of May 3, 2026, against 39.7% in Information and 33.9% in Finance and Insurance. Adoption rises with firm size: 37% of firms with at least 250 employees, 32% of firms with 100 to 249 employees, and under 20% of firms with four or fewer employees.

Solopreneurs, Solow, and the SaaSpocalypse

Stripe: SaaS pay-in volumes recovered quickly; SaaSpocalypse was expectations, not activity

Stripe Economics (Ernie Tedeschi)May 19, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Looking at weekly transactions for the 100 largest non-AI software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies on Stripe, the episode appears as a brief dip followed by a swift recovery and continued growth—a pattern quite different from what equity markets were pricing.

Do Job Postings Show Early Labor-Market Effects of AI?

NY Fed: firms incorporate AI mainly via retraining, limited effects on hiring

Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Liberty Street Economics (Audoly, Guerin, Topa)May 14, 2026Research
Show excerpt

While job postings show a relative decline in vacancies in occupations with greater exposure to AI, that divergence began before the release of ChatGPT in late 2022. These patterns make it difficult to attribute the recent slowdown in entry-level hiring to AI alone.

Entry-Level Hiring in the AI Era: What Employers Are Thinking (and Doing)

Strada: 92% of employers engaging with AI; only 8% have no plans to adopt

Strada Institute for the Future of WorkMay 1, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Only 8 percent of employers report that they have no current plans to use AI tools, while the vast majority of the market has moved into various stages of adoption: 22 percent of firms have reached a state of strategic integration; 32 percent of companies have partially integrated these tools; 20 percent are in a developing phase; and 18 percent are exploring the use of AI tools.

The Microstructure of AI Diffusion: Evidence from Firms, Business Functions, and Worker Tasks
US Census Bureau — Center for Economic Studies (Bonney, Breaux, Dinlersoz, Foster, Haltiwanger, Pande)Apr 22, 2026Research
Show excerpt

18% of firms used AI in a business function, rising to 32% on an employment-weighted basis; adoption is expected to reach 22% within six months.

The Carlyle Compass: Software do we go now

Carlyle: 11% of management teams cite SaaS licenses as AI spending offset; 17% cite no meaningful reallocation

Carlyle (Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research & Investment Strategy)Apr 21, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Our proprietary survey of AI integration efforts finds that only 11% of management teams expect AI to replace existing software subscriptions. Far more expect the move to AI-centric architectures to reduce maintenance spending on legacy infrastructure, save on consulting fees, and increase the productivity of existing workers, reducing future headcount needs. Figure 4 (Carlyle Proprietary Survey, April 2026): Internal headcount cited as AI spending offset by 26% of respondents — the largest single category.

You're (not) hired: Artificial intelligence and early career hiring in the Quarterly Workforce Indicators

Census/QWI: 1 SD higher AI exposure → +6.7pp BTOS adoption (R²=47%)

US Census Bureau (Lee C. Tucker)Apr 17, 2026Research
Show excerpt

A one standard-deviation increase in subsector AI exposure is associated with a 6.7 percentage point increase in AI adoption. And, approximately 47% of the observed variation in adoption as of April 2026 can be predicted using the GPT-4 beta measure alone

Rising AI Adoption Spurs Workforce Changes

Gallup: 41% of employees say their org has integrated AI tools (n=23,717)

GallupApr 13, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

41% of employees report their organization has integrated AI tools. 23% in AI-adopting orgs report workforce reductions vs. 16% in non-adopting. Survey of 23,717 employed U.S. adults, margin of error +/-0.9pp.

JPMorgan Chase 2025 Annual Report — CEO Letter (Jamie Dimon)

Dimon: hyperscaler AI capex $725B in 2026, up from $450B in 2025

JPMorgan Chase (Jamie Dimon)Apr 6, 2026News
Show excerpt

Huge increase in AI-driven capital spending and construction by the five hyperscalers. In 2025, this number was $450 billion, and in 2026, it will be approximately $725 billion.

Economists Once Dismissed the A.I. Job Threat, but Not Anymore

NYT/Census: ~1 in 5 firms used AI in last 2 weeks; 2x in some industries

The New York Times (Ben Casselman)Apr 3, 2026News
Show excerpt

Already, nearly one in five companies reports having used A.I. in the last two weeks, according to data from the Census Bureau, and in some industries the rate is twice as high.

Monitoring AI Adoption in the U.S. Economy

Fed (FEDS Note): >20% of US firms expect to use AI in H1 2026

Federal Reserve Board of Governors (Jeffrey S. Allen)Apr 3, 2026Research
Show excerpt

Adoption stood at about 18 percent of firms at the end of 2025. Prior to the question revision, the adoption rate had grown by 68 percent (3.9 percentage points) over the prior year but decelerated in Q2 2025. Over 20 percent of firms expect to use AI in the first half of 2026.

The Enterprise AI Playbook: Lessons from 51 Successful Deployments

Stanford DEL: Only 20% of enterprise AI cases used agentic workflows

Stanford Digital Economy Lab (Pereira, Graylin, Brynjolfsson)Apr 1, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Agentic implementations are currently a minority at 20% of cases.

Mapping AI into Production: A Field Experiment on Firm Performance

INSEAD/HBS RCT: mapping problem solved, AI use cases +44% (n=515)

INSEAD / Harvard Business School (Kim, Kim, Koning)Mar 30, 2026Research
Show excerpt

Treated firms discover 2.7 additional AI use cases (a 44% increase), concentrated in product development and strategy. The binding constraint is not access to the technology but the ability to discover where they create value and how to reorganize the firm accordingly.

Pascual Restrepo on AI, Automation, and the Future of Work

Yale (Restrepo): AI firm adoption still relatively low; firms experimenting

Yale Department of Economics (Restrepo, interviewed by Strathmann)Mar 17, 2026News
Show excerpt

When you look at the data, adoption of AI by firms is still relatively low. Right now I would describe the labor market as more of a wait-and-see environment.

Artificial Intelligence, Productivity, and the Workforce: Evidence from Corporate Executives

Fed/Duke CFO Survey: 58.5% invested in AI (2025); 85.4% expect to in 2026

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta / Duke University (Baslandze et al.)Mar 13, 2026Research
Show excerpt

58.5% of ~750 surveyed firms invested in AI in 2025; 85.4% expect to invest in 2026. Many smaller firms only beginning to invest in 2026. Note: CFO Survey uses broader 'invested in AI' definition vs Census BTOS 'using AI in production', explaining higher rate.

AI-fueled layoffs are rising, but a great divide is emerging

NBER via BizJournals: 70% of 6,000 intl. execs report using AI

The Business JournalsMar 10, 2026News
Show excerpt

more than 71% said they have adopted AI tools either 'somewhat' or 'extensively,' while just under 20% said they were considering it either for this year or later, and only 9% said they had no plans to adopt the technology.

Research on AI and the labor market is still in the first inning

PIIE/Kolko: <1/5 of firms using AI; even fewer for production (Census BTOS)

Peterson Institute for International Economics (Jed Kolko)Mar 10, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Current data from the Census Bureau's Business Trends and Outlook Survey shows that fewer than one-fifth of firms are using AI in any capacity, and even fewer are using AI directly for producing goods and services.

Artificial Intelligence: friend or foe for hiring in Europe today?

ECB/SAFE: 66% of European firms adopted AI (European scope, not US Census)

European Central BankMar 4, 2026News
Show excerpt

Two-thirds of the 3,500 euro-area firms surveyed reported that their employees use AI in their jobs (ECB SAFE survey, Q4 2025). Note: European firms; not directly comparable to US Census BTOS figures.

AI Will Displace…The Fed's View of Neutral

Citadel: AI capex ~$650B in 2026, ~$2T over 3 years

Citadel Securities (Nohshad Shah)Mar 2, 2026News
Show excerpt

AI capex – roughly $650bn this year and potentially ~$2tn over three years – materially alters the equilibrium.

Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the U.S.

NBER/Bick et al.: Firm encouragement explains 80% of US-EU adoption gap

NBER (Bick, Blandin, Deming, Fuchs-Schundeln, Jessen)Mar 1, 2026Research
Show excerpt

Firm encouragement alone accounts for 80% of the overall average gap.

AI Quarterly Pulse Survey Q1 2026

KPMG: 54% of orgs deploying AI agents, Q1 2026

KPMGMar 1, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Today, more than half of organizations are actively deploying AI agents.

Business Trends and Outlook Survey: Biweekly National Data Tables (AI Question)
US Census BureauFeb 26, 2026Research
Show excerpt

In the last two weeks, did this business use Artificial Intelligence (AI) in any of its business functions? Yes: 17.5%, No: 73.1%, Do not know: 9.4% (Cycle 202604, ref period Jan 26–Feb 8, 2026). First biweekly reading (Cycle 202524, Nov 2025): Yes: 17.3%.

State of IT jobs: AI sparks rapidly changing market for skills

CIO/LinkedIn: AI literacy job postings growing 70%+ year over year

CIO.comFeb 18, 2026News
Show excerpt

80% of respondents in the 2025 Indeed Workforce Insights Report report they save at least one hour per day using generative AI. Job postings that require AI literacy skills are growing at a rate of more than 70% year over year.

Firm Data on AI

NBER/Bloom: 78% of US firms use AI (executive survey of ~6K across 4 countries)

NBER (Bloom, Barrero, Davis et al.)Feb 15, 2026Research
Show excerpt

69% of firms across US, UK, Germany, and Australia currently use some AI technology (US: 78%). LLM text generation most common (41%). Expected to rise to 75% in 3 years. Larger, more productive, higher-paying firms more likely to adopt.

AI, Productivity, and Labor Markets: A Review of the Empirical Evidence

ICLE review: 35.9% of workers use gen AI; adoption accelerating

International Center for Law & EconomicsFeb 1, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

35.9% of US workers used generative AI by December 2025; adoption is accelerating but remains unevenly distributed across industries and skill levels.

Fault Lines

Lightcast: Hospitality (0.4%) and healthcare (0.7%) have lowest AI adoption

LightcastFeb 1, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

The United States has seen 50% growth in AI-related postings over the past year, with AI now appearing in 2.5% of all job postings.

Firm Data on AI

NBER: Multi-country firm survey finds AI boosting sales/employee but mixed employment

NBERFeb 1, 2026Research
Show excerpt

Synthesizes firm-level survey data from the US, UK, Germany, and Australia measuring AI's realized and expected impacts on sales per employee and employment. Data collected Feb-Apr 2025 and Nov 2025-Jan 2026.

AI use by individuals surges across the OECD as adoption by firms continues to expand

OECD: 20.2% of firms used AI in 2025, more than doubled from 8.7% in 2023

OECDJan 28, 2026Research
Show excerpt

36.8% of individuals across OECD used generative AI in 2025. 20.2% of firms used AI in 2025 (up from 8.7% in 2023). 41.1% of employed individuals used generative AI. 52.0% of large firms vs 17.4% small.

January 2026 US Labor Market Update: Jobs Mentioning AI Are Growing Amid Broader Hiring Weakness

Indeed: AI Tracker hit 4.2% of postings; AI postings 134% above 2020 baseline

Indeed Hiring LabJan 22, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

The Indeed AI Tracker reached a high of 4.2% in December 2025...the number of postings mentioning AI measured 134% above February 2020 levels

The Anthropic Economic Index: Economic Primitives

Anthropic: 49% of jobs use AI for ≥25% of tasks; productivity +1.0-1.8pp

AnthropicJan 15, 2026Research
Show excerpt

49% of jobs now use AI for at least 25% of their tasks (up from 36% in early 2025); widespread adoption could boost US labor productivity by 1.0-1.8 percentage points annually.

State of AI in the Enterprise: The untapped edge

Deloitte: 34% of firms using AI for deep business transformation (n=3,235)

Deloitte AI InstituteJan 15, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

Nearly 3 in 4 (74%) companies plan to deploy agentic AI within two years. 34% are already starting to use AI to deeply transform their businesses—creating new products and services, reinventing core processes, or even fundamentally changing their business models.

The State of AI in the Enterprise — 2026 AI Report

Deloitte: 71% of orgs use GenAI in at least one function; 92% plan investment

DeloitteJan 15, 2026Institutional
Show excerpt

71% of organizations regularly use generative AI in at least one business function (up from 65% in early 2024). 92% plan to invest in generative AI over next three years. 66% report productivity gains.

The Labor Market Effects of Generative Artificial Intelligence

Hartley: 36% worker-level AI adoption (broader definition than Census BTOS firm-level measure)

Stanford / World Bank (Hartley, Jolevski, Melo, Moore)Jan 1, 2026Research
Show excerpt

35.9% of US workers used generative AI by December 2025. Adoption concentrated among younger, college-educated, higher-earning employees.

Artificial Intelligence in the Firm

Chen & Stratton: Only ~50% of engineers adopted AI tools 18mo after firm rollout

Chen & Stratton (Jellyfish data)Jan 1, 2026Research
Show excerpt

Even 18 months after firm-level adoption, only about half of engineers had begun using the tools. Individual take-up was not universal.

Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS) — AI Adoption Data, December 2025

Census BTOS: AI adoption 78.4% annualized growth; 80.9% non-adopters cite inapplicability

U.S. Census BureauDec 31, 2025Research
Show excerpt

AI adoption for production rose from 4.6% (early 2024) to 10% (Sep 2025). Broader measure (any business function): 17.3% (Nov 2025). 78.4% annualized growth rate. 80.9% of non-adopters cite inapplicability.

Gallup Workplace AI Adoption Survey Q4 2025

Gallup: 46% of US workers used AI at work in Q4 2025

GallupDec 15, 2025Institutional
Show excerpt

46% of US workers reported using AI tools at work in Q4 2025, up from 33% in Q1 2025. Adoption driven by white-collar professional and technical roles.

Stanford AI Index Report 2025

Stanford AI Index: 78% using AI; enterprise AI spending +45% YoY

Stanford HAIDec 1, 2025Institutional
Show excerpt

78% of organizations report using AI in at least one business function. Enterprise AI spending grew 45% YoY globally.

AI Adoption by Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises

OECD: Only 29% of SMEs use genAI in core activities

OECD (Calvino, Bianchini, Lane, Montegu, Verger, Ancheva)Dec 1, 2025Institutional
Show excerpt

AI adoption in core business functions – related to the production of goods and services – ranges from 1.9% in Japan to 6.1% in the United States in 2024. Among SMEs using generative AI, only 29% report using it in their core activities.

Use of artificial intelligence in enterprises (isoc_eb_ai)

Eurostat: 19.95% of EU enterprises (10+ employees) used at least one AI technology in 2025 (isoc_eb_ai)

EurostatDec 1, 2025Research
Show excerpt

In 2025, 19.95% of EU enterprises with 10 or more employees used at least one of the eight AI technologies covered (text mining, speech recognition, natural language generation, image recognition, machine learning, AI-based workflow automation, autonomous machines/vehicles, and AI-based decision systems). Data extracted December 2025 from Eurostat dataset isoc_eb_ai. The Brookings FCAI dialogue briefing cites this figure as the EU diffusion benchmark.

AI at Work Is Here. Now Comes the Hard Part

Microsoft: 75% of knowledge workers use AI tools

MicrosoftNov 20, 2025Institutional
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75% of knowledge workers now use AI tools. Adoption in enterprises with 500+ employees reached 60%, up from 40% a year prior.

McKinsey Global Survey on AI (State of AI, 2025)

McKinsey: 88% of organizations now use AI in at least one business function

McKinsey & CompanyNov 5, 2025Institutional
Show excerpt

32% of companies expect AI to reduce workforce by 3%+ within next year. Median 17% of respondents report workforce declines within functions from AI use. 88% of organizations now use AI in at least one business function.

The State of AI: Agents, Innovation, and Transformation (Nov 2025)

McKinsey Nov 2025: 88% use AI; gen AI at 71%; but only 7% fully scaled

McKinsey & CompanyNov 1, 2025Institutional
Show excerpt

88% of organizations use AI in ≥1 function (up from 78%). Gen AI adoption at 71%. But only 7% fully scaled, and just 6% report EBIT impact ≥5%. 62% experimenting with AI agents.

Why 96% of Companies Aren't Seeing AI ROI

Atlassian: 96% of orgs not seeing dramatic AI improvements; only 4% report true ROI

AtlassianOct 1, 2025Institutional
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Survey of 180 Fortune 100 executives and 12,000 knowledge workers. 96% of organizations not seeing dramatic improvements in efficiency, innovation, or work quality from AI. Costing Fortune 500 ~$98B/year in lost returns. Workers report feeling 33% more productive individually, but organizational metrics flat.

Has Generative AI Adoption Impacted Labor Demand at Third District Firms?

Philadelphia Fed: ~50% of surveyed Third District firms using generative AI

Federal Reserve Bank of PhiladelphiaOct 1, 2025Research
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About half of respondent firms in the Philadelphia Fed's Third District are using generative AI. Survey conducted late October 2025.

AI-Generated 'Workslop' Is Destroying Productivity

HBR: 40% received AI workslop; 96% not seeing productivity gains

Harvard Business Review (Stanford / BetterUp Labs)Sep 22, 2025Institutional
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Survey of 1,150 US workers: 40% received AI-generated 'workslop' in the past month; each instance cost ~2 hours to deal with. 18% of AI users admitted sending low-quality AI output. Estimated cost: $186/worker/month or ~$9M/year for a 10,000-person org.

The Anthropic Economic Index: Measuring AI's Real-World Impact
AnthropicSep 15, 2025Research
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Census Bureau rigorous measure finds 9.7% of firms actively using AI, while broader surveys report 78%. Adoption gap driven by definitional differences in what counts as AI use.

Uneven geographic and demographic patterns of AI adoption

Anthropic: Only 25% of Info sector using AI; adoption uneven

AnthropicSep 15, 2025Research
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Only ~25% of Information sector businesses using AI; ~2.5% in Accommodation/Food — adoption patterns driven more by workforce composition than income.

The Projected Impact of Generative AI on Future Productivity Growth

Penn Wharton: 40% of exposed jobs replaceable; 25% labor savings

Penn Wharton Budget Model (Arnon, Smetters)Sep 8, 2025Research
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In about 40% of employment in exposed occupations, at least 50% of tasks will be replaceable. Average labor-cost savings ~25% from current tools, potentially 40% as systems improve.

Is AI Already Replacing Jobs? A Large-Scale Survey

NBER/Bick et al.: 37.4% of workers use AI (worker-level, not firm-level Census measure)

NBER (Bick, Blandin, Deming)Aug 15, 2025Research
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37.4% of US workers used AI on the job in the past week. Adoption highest among college-educated (52%) and workers earning $100K+ (58%). Survey of 25,000 workers.

Business Trends and Outlook Survey: AI Module Q2 2025
US Census BureauJul 1, 2025Research
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US firm AI usage in production reached 10.2%, with 14.8% in testing. Large firms (500+ employees) at 28%. Adoption accelerating across all sectors.

AI's Impact on Job Growth

JP Morgan: <10% of firms using AI regularly; adoption by industry

J.P. Morgan Global ResearchJun 1, 2025Institutional
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Less than 10% of firms using AI regularly as of mid-2025 (BTOS data); ~20% adoption in professional, scientific, and technical industries.

What do professional software developers need to know to succeed in an age of Artificial Intelligence?

Generative AI showing early productivity gains for software developers

arxiv.orgMay 30, 2025Research
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Generative AI is showing early evidence of productivity gains for software developers

2025 Work Trend Index

Microsoft WTI: 75% knowledge workers use AI; 78% bring own tools (n=31K, 31 countries)

MicrosoftApr 1, 2025Institutional
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75% of knowledge workers use AI at work; 78% bring own AI tools (n=31K, 31 countries).

The State of AI in 2025

McKinsey survey: 78% use AI in ≥1 function (Mar 2025)

McKinsey & CompanyJan 20, 2025Institutional
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AI is now a core part of business strategy for 78% of respondents. 65% report measurable revenue or cost impact from AI deployments.

The Unequal Adoption of ChatGPT Exacerbates Existing Inequalities Among Workers

PNAS: ChatGPT adoption unequal; women 16pp less likely to use

PNAS (Humlum, Vestergaard)Jan 6, 2025Research
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Half of workers in AI-exposed occupations have used ChatGPT; adoption unequal — women 16pp less likely, employer restrictions hinder broader use.

AI Adoption in US Firms

NY Fed: >50% of info/finance firms use AI; few report layoffs from AI adoption

Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Abel et al.)Jan 1, 2025Research
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Over 50% of information/finance firms use AI; few report layoffs from AI adoption.

Information Nudges and AI Adoption

CESifo/Menkhoff: RCT shows info about AI gains raises adoption (German firms)

CESifo (Menkhoff)Jan 1, 2025Research
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RCT shows information about AI productivity gains increases adoption among German firms.

Is Distance from Innovation a Barrier to the Adoption of Artificial Intelligence?

Hunt/Cockburn/Bessen: state borders explain 20% of AI adoption distance penalty

NBER (Hunt, Cockburn, Bessen)Oct 1, 2024Research
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A commuting zone which is an additional 200 km from the closest AI hotspot has 17% lower growth in AI jobs' share of vacancies. 20% of the effect is explained by state borders.

State of Generative AI in the Enterprise Q3 2024

Deloitte survey: 42% of enterprises in production

DeloitteSep 15, 2024Institutional
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79% of enterprise leaders expect gen AI to transform their industry within 3 years. 42% have gen AI in production, up from 22% a year earlier.

Microsoft 2024 Annual Report

Microsoft: 60K+ Azure AI customers, growing 60% YoY

MicrosoftJul 1, 2024Research
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Over 60,000 Azure AI customers by end of FY2024, growing nearly 60% YoY. Azure AI revenue reached a $13 billion annual run rate, growing 175% YoY.

Enterprise AI Adoption Survey

Wharton/Korst: 72% enterprise leaders use AI weekly; 62% of companies actively use AI (n=800)

Wharton (Korst et al.)Jun 1, 2024Institutional
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72% of enterprise leaders use AI weekly; 62% of companies actively use AI (n=800).

The State of AI in Early 2024

McKinsey 2024: 72% use AI in ≥1 function, up from 55%

McKinsey & CompanyMay 1, 2024Institutional
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72% of organizations surveyed now use AI in at least one function, up from 55% the prior year. Generative AI adoption doubled.

Business Trends and Outlook Survey: AI Module Q2 2024
US Census BureauMay 1, 2024Research
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AI usage among US firms rose to 6.6%, with an additional 9.1% in testing. Information sector at 24%, finance/insurance at 15%.

Evidence on the Adoption of Artificial Intelligence: The Role of Skills Shortage

ZEW: Skills shortage drives AI adoption; academic labor scarcity pushes firms to adopt (Germany)

ZEW (Carioli, Czarnitzki, Fernandez)Mar 1, 2024Research
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Skills shortage has a positive and significant effect on AI adoption breadth and application areas (German Mannheim Innovation Panel).

Salesforce Announces Strong Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2024 Results

Salesforce: Einstein platform serving 200B AI predictions daily

SalesforceFeb 28, 2024Research
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Salesforce Einstein platform serves over 200 billion AI predictions per day across Customer 360 applications. Einstein 1 platform enables AI-powered apps with low-code development and generative AI assistants.

AI Adoption in America: Who, What, and Where

JEMS/Census ABS: 5.8% of US firms used AI in production by 2017 (n=850K)

Journal of Economics & Management Strategy (McElheran, Li, Brynjolfsson et al.)Jan 24, 2024Research
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Just under 6% of firms nationwide used AI as of 2017. Yet most very large firms (over 5,000 employees) reported at least some AI use. Employment-weighted adoption was just over 18%. Based on the 2018 Annual Business Survey of 850,000 firms linked to the Longitudinal Business Database.

Business Trends and Outlook Survey: AI Module Q3 2023
US Census BureauAug 15, 2023Research
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3.8% of US firms reported using AI in production. An additional 6.4% were in testing/pilot phase. Adoption highest in information (18%) and professional services (12%).

The State of AI in 2023: Generative AI's Breakout Year

McKinsey: 55% of respondents use AI; 1/3 using gen AI regularly

McKinsey & CompanyAug 1, 2023Institutional
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One-third of respondents say their organizations are using gen AI regularly in at least one business function. AI adoption overall at 55% of survey respondents.

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